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2024-12-14 03:33:19

Soochow securities: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December. According to the soochow securities Research Report, the CPI of the United States rebounded to +2.75% in November as scheduled, and the CPI that did not exceed expectations cleared the last obstacle for the Fed to cut interest rates in December. In the short term, the combination of low base and high viscosity means that CPI is expected to continue to rebound to +2.8% in December. In the medium term, Trump is expected to drive out illegal immigrants on the first day after taking office, which will aggravate the risk of stagflation in the labor market. However, the intensification of wage inflation stickiness may be concealed by the downward movement of non-agricultural centers in the same period, the expectation of increasing oil prices and the high base in the first half of 2025. The market's concern about "stagnation" may provide room for the Fed to cut interest rates smoothly in the first half of 2025. However, in the second half of 2025, the cumulative interest rate cuts will give support to the economy, the persistence of inflation stickiness and the landing of Trump's tax reduction policy will force the Fed to cut interest rates. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December, 25bps in March and June next year, and stop cutting interest rates in the second half of the year. The end point of the policy interest rate in 2025 is [3.75,4.0]%.The Henan provincial government and Shenzhen Stock Exchange signed a strategic cooperation agreement. According to the news of Henan government network, on December 12, the Henan provincial government and Shenzhen Stock Exchange signed a strategic cooperation agreement in Zhengzhou, and reached a cooperation intention on jointly promoting capital market construction and promoting local economic development. The two sides will adhere to the principles of complementary advantages, resource sharing, project traction, innovation and win-win, and establish an all-round, multi-level, long-term stable, cooperative and mutually beneficial strategic cooperative relationship; Focusing on the implementation of major national strategies and the key industrial chain groups cultivated in Henan Province, we will intensify the cultivation and promote more high-quality enterprises to go public; Give full play to the role of industry-finance service platform and further broaden financing channels; Establish an all-round communication mechanism, strengthen information sharing and work coordination, and jointly create a good environment for the development of the capital market.Britain's GFK consumer confidence index was negative 17 in December, the highest since August, and negative 18 in November. The survey estimated that it was negative 18.


Morgan Stanley called concerns about South Korean financial stocks "excessive". Morgan Stanley said that recent political developments have hit South Korean financial stocks particularly hard because people are worried that reform efforts may be delayed and the risk of tightening supervision.After the release of the Bank of Japan's short-term report, the yen rose slightly.Senior Advisor of Shi Pomao: Japan must be prepared for Trump tariffs. One of Japan's top security officials said that Japan needs to be prepared for the threat of US President-elect Trump to impose tariffs on Canada and Mexico, and adjust the supply chain to reduce the collateral damage to Japanese enterprises. Akihisa Nagashima, national security adviser to Japanese Prime Minister Shi Pomao, said that during his recent visit to the United States, he had a "frank" communication with Trump team members on tariff issues. "I realized that Japan must be ready for Trump to implement his plan," he said.


Onlikon: The cooperative product Aidit calcitonin soft capsules is planned to be selected for the tenth batch of national centralized drug procurement. Onlikon announced on December 13th, and on December 12th, the company received a notice from its partner Beijing Meifurun Pharmaceutical Technology Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Meifurun") that the Aidit calcitonin soft capsules jointly developed by the company and its wholly-owned subsidiary Wenzhou Haihe Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. are planned to be selected for the tenth batch of national centralized drug procurement. According to the Pharmaceutical Cooperation Agreement signed by the company and its partner Mei Furun, the company owns 50% of the cooperative products.Li Tie's family members were not present at the trial today, and the verdict in the first instance of Li Tie's case will start at 8:30 on time today. It is understood that after the trial today, it will directly enter the sentencing procedure, and the presiding judge will read the verdict and then ask the parties whether to appeal. Besides, apart from the defense lawyer, Li Tie's family did not come to the scene. (CCTV)US Congressman French Hill will take over as the chairman of the House Financial Services Committee. On December 12, local time, the reporter learned that French Hill, a Republican congressman and former banker from Arkansas, will be the next chairman of the House Financial Services Committee. The Financial Services Committee of the House of Representatives is an important body of the US Congress, which is responsible for supervising the financial industry and formulating relevant legislation. Its responsibilities cover banking, the overall financial system and the cryptocurrency market. Hill will succeed retiring Patrick Patrick McHenry, whose formal appointment is expected to be approved by the Republican Party in the next few days. (CCTV)

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